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Balakirev

3yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 10

Le Mans · Prix Du Mondial Du Lion - Prix Des Oeillets Stakes · 7f 209y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Dieppe 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12313/07C52 @ La Teste De Buch 05/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1255/092projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05La Teste De Buch26th6th0
2026-07-13Dieppe?1st4th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -36.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20261st2/598%100%+0.02
05/09/20266th3/184%50%-0.34