8

Chilada
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 7
Le Mans · Prix Du Mondial Du Lion - Prix Des Oeillets Stakes · 7f 209y
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-10-09 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 12th | 15th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength43%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 55% | +0.49 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |