10
Feelgood
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 4
Le Mans · Prix Du Mondial Du Lion - Prix Des Oeillets Stakes · 7f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
80%
Place Prob
50%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-27 | Pornichet | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Pornichet | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Pornichet | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-10-29 | Le Mans | ? | 12th | 15th | −3 |
| 2025-09-06 | Craon | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 29/10/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 29/11/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 26/12/2025 | 13th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 27/01/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |