7

Liberty Amour

3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 1

Le Mans · Prix Du Mondial Du Lion - Prix Des Oeillets Stakes · 7f 209y

#4

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Lion D'angers 18/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12418/07C5C5 @ Salon-De-Provence 30/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12830/09C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 17/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Std 12817/11C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 10/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12210/03C51 @ ParisLongchamp 05/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m208y Hvy 125 · HIGHER CLASS5/041projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-05ParisLongchamp18th6th+1
2026-03-10Saint-Cloud?5th8th−3
2025-11-17Lyon La Soie?1st4th−3
2025-09-30Salon-De-Provence?2nd5th−3
2025-07-18Le Lion D'angers?2nd5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0730/0917/1110/035/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 27/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength43%

Delivery trend -8.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20252nd28/10%88%+0.88
30/09/20252nd9/276%88%+0.11
17/11/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
10/03/20265th20/10%56%+0.56
05/04/20268th33/10%22%+0.22