4
Silver Reel
3yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 6
Le Mans · Prix Du Mondial Du Lion - Prix Des Oeillets Stakes · 7f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-11-14 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2025-10-10 | Compiegne | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 27/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength34%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 14/11/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 19/12/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 03/09/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |