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5

Azimuts

4yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 4

Le Mans · Prix De La Chapelle-Saint-Aubin Handicap · 7f 209y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

86%

Place Prob

61%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Compiegne 25/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 12325/04C5C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 06/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f205y Sft 1286/06C5C5 @ Vichy 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m1f43y Sft 12830/07C54 @ Le Touquet 16/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 12816/0843 @ ParisLongchamp 13/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12513/093projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13ParisLongchamp31st1st0
2026-08-16Le Touquet47th8th−1
2026-07-30Vichy?1st3rd−2
2026-06-06Lyon-Parilly?6th8th−2
2026-04-25Compiegne?2nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/046/0630/0716/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 27/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength99%

Delivery trend +6.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20262nd7/163%90%+0.27
06/06/20266th5/174%29%-0.45
30/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
16/08/20267th9/488%14%-0.74
13/09/20261st14/126%100%+0.74