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5yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 9

Le Mans · Prix De La Chapelle-Saint-Aubin Handicap · 7f 209y

#9

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ La Teste De Buch 08/08/2023 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1238/08C53 @ Dax 08/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1238/0734 @ Vichy 23/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12823/0744 @ Le Touquet 16/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 12316/0843 @ La Teste De Buch 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1235/093projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05La Teste De Buch33rd3rd0
2026-08-16Le Touquet46th7th−1
2026-07-23Vichy46th7th−1
2026-07-08Dax37th7th0
2023-08-08La Teste De Buch?6th8th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/088/0723/0716/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 38/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength47%

Delivery trend -6.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20236th18/15%29%+0.23
08/07/20267th25/10%25%+0.25
23/07/20266th28/10%29%+0.29
16/08/20266th7/163%29%-0.35
05/09/20263rd8/158%80%+0.22