10
Leoparduccio
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 8
Le Mans · Prix De La Chapelle-Saint-Aubin Handicap · 7f 209y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | 3 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 81/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength95%
Delivery trend +9.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 14th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 26/03/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 08/04/2026 | 14th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 24/05/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 9% | -0.28 |
| 07/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 08/08/2026 | 16th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 10/09/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 23/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |