Markus
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 1
Le Mans · Prix De La Chapelle-Saint-Aubin Handicap · 7f 209y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 2 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Cholet | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-24 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | 30 | 2nd | 34th | −27 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 23/03/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 11/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 30/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 03/08/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 20/08/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 14% | +0.09 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |