7
Modern Spirit
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 6
Le Mans · Prix De La Chapelle-Saint-Aubin Handicap · 7f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Fontainebleau | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 64/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength5%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 14/05/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 30% | -0.12 |
| 25/05/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 55% | +0.12 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 14/09/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 27% | -0.15 |
| 20/09/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |