8

Baieta

3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 1

Le Mans · Prix De Champagne Handicap · 7f 209y

#9

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 03/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1233/04C5C5 @ Chantilly 28/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12428/04C5C5 @ Dieppe 16/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 5f102y Ver 12416/05C5C0 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12512/07C?C5 @ Le Touquet 26/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f101y Sft 12426/07C5C5 @ Senonnes-Pouance 19/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 12419/09C5projClass-projected finish: 14th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Senonnes-Pouance?6th6th0
2026-07-26Le Touquet?11th11th0
2026-07-12Deauville?16th16th0
2026-05-16Dieppe?7th7th0
2026-04-28Chantilly?8th8th0
2026-04-03Saint-Cloud?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0428/0416/0512/0726/0719/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 5-15 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength22%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/04/20266th14/126%44%+0.18
28/04/20268th17/255%13%-0.43
16/05/20267th20/10%40%+0.40
12/07/202616th12/137%0%-0.37
26/07/202611th20/10%9%+0.09
19/09/20266th50/10%38%+0.38