1

Budokan

3yo Gelding · 10-0 · Draw 5

Le Mans · Prix De Champagne Handicap · 7f 209y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 20/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12820/07C5C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 10/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f211y GS 128C5 @ Craon 06/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m44y GS 1286/09C5C8 @ Lignieres 07/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 128C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 29/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 13429/04C?C5 @ Nantes 01/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 128C0 @ Vittel 27/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 14027/07C?C0 @ Vittel 11/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 14011/08C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-11Vittel?8th8th0
2026-07-27Vittel?2nd2nd0
2026-07-01Nantes?5th5th0
2026-04-29Lyon-Parilly?13th13th0
2026-04-07Lignieres?2nd2nd0
2025-09-06Craon?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/077/0427/0711/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 8-15 · tight 65/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength22%

Delivery trend -5.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/07/20254th4/179%50%-0.29
10/08/20253rd9/276%71%-0.05
06/09/20254th5/174%67%-0.07
07/04/20262nd15/890%89%-0.01
29/04/202613th12/137%0%-0.37
01/07/20265th4/179%43%-0.36
27/07/20262nd7/491%86%-0.05
11/08/20268th3/184%13%-0.72