12
Happ'ines
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 3
Le Mans · Prix De Champagne Handicap · 7f 209y
#13
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 10.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Clairefontaine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-10 | Dieppe | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-22 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 11-14 · tight 80/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/2025 | 16th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/09/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/11/2025 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 09/12/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 09/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/05/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 07/07/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |