9
Iria Chope
3yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 8
Le Mans · Prix De Champagne Handicap · 7f 209y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Dax | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Dax | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Marseille | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Deauville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 4-15 · tight 47/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 31/10/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 02/01/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.58 |
| 30/01/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 31% | +0.04 |
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 10/03/2026 | 11th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/08/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |