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6

Michel

3yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 12

Le Mans · Prix De Champagne Handicap · 7f 209y

#7

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 09/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f100y Ver 1289/10C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 13/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 128C5 @ Chantilly 09/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1289/12C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 02/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m208y Std 128C0 @ Saint-Cloud 24/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 13024/03C?C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 123C0 @ Dieppe 09/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1279/07C?C0 @ Saint-Malo 01/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1321/08C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Saint-Malo?6th6th0
2026-07-09Dieppe?8th8th0
2026-05-08Lyon-Parilly?3rd3rd0
2026-03-24Saint-Cloud?12th12th0
2026-03-02Lyon La Soie?6th6th0
2025-12-09Chantilly?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/102/039/071/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 6-15 · tight 57/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength19%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/10/20254th11/271%70%-0.01
13/11/20256th12/137%38%+0.01
09/12/20256th28/10%44%+0.44
02/03/20266th8/158%29%-0.29
24/03/202612th8/158%0%-0.58
08/05/20263rd8/158%82%+0.24
09/07/20268th12/137%30%-0.07
01/08/20266th15/261%55%-0.06