IvyArcIvyArc
13

Persian Heroe

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 11

Le Mans · Prix De Champagne Handicap · 7f 209y

#14

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 8.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 22/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 12822/10C5C5 @ Chantilly 12/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12712/03C5C5 @ Cholet 01/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 1281/06C5C0 @ Senonnes-Pouance 02/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 6f156y GS 1222/07C?C0 @ Le Touquet 26/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f101y Sft 13126/07C?C0 @ Deauville 13/08/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Sft 11413/08C?C0 @ Dieppe 17/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12517/09C?projClass-projected finish: 13th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Dieppe?7th7th0
2026-08-13Deauville?15th15th0
2026-07-26Le Touquet?10th10th0
2026-07-02Senonnes-Pouance?7th7th0
2026-06-01Cholet?7th7th0
2026-03-12Chantilly?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/102/0717/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 7-15 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength25%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/10/20259th33/10%20%+0.20
12/03/20267th40/10%50%+0.50
01/06/20267th28/10%14%+0.14
02/07/20267th25/10%40%+0.40
26/07/202610th16/116%18%+0.02
13/08/202615th40/10%0%0.00
17/09/20267th33/10%45%+0.45