4

Shirdihenge

3yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 15

Le Mans · Prix De Champagne Handicap · 7f 209y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

96%

Place Prob

76%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fontainebleau 22/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12822/11C5C5 @ Pornichet 24/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 12824/01C53 @ Argentan 10/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 12010/063C0 @ Saint-Malo 22/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 12522/07C?C5 @ Angers 21/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12421/09C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Angers?1st1st0
2026-07-22Saint-Malo?8th8th0
2026-06-10Argentan37th7th0
2026-01-24Pornichet?7th7th0
2025-11-22Fontainebleau?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1124/0110/0622/0721/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 49/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength98%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/11/20253rd16/116%78%+0.62
24/01/20267th28/10%45%+0.45
10/06/20267th18/15%33%+0.28
22/07/20268th11/142%30%-0.12
21/09/20261st50/10%100%+1.00