Mornin' Boss
6yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 85
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
94%
Place Prob
74%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 20/10/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 26/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 17/08/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |