1
Everheart
5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 64
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 66/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -7.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 67% | -0.30 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 28/09/2026 | 4th | 4/6 | 96% | 40% | -0.56 |