10

Scoot Along

5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 10 · OR 69

Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Mahoning Valley 20/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 77 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 77 par20/02C8OR 77C8 @ Mountaineer 19/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 72 · 5f110y 123 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 72 parC7 @ Mountaineer 05/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 68 · 5f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/05/2026 · OR 68 par5/05C7OR 68C8 @ Mountaineer 27/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 66 · 5f110y Fas 123 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 66 parC7 @ Mountaineer 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 69 · 7f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 69 par15/06C7OR 69C8 @ Mountaineer 21/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 68 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Mountaineer 04/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 67 · 5f110y Gd 124 · below its mark04/08/2026 · OR 67 par4/08C8OR 67C8 @ Mountaineer 24/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 68 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark24/08/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Mountaineer 15/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 71 · 4f110y Fas 124 · below its mark15/09/2026 · OR 71 par15/09C8OR 71projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Mountaineer?4th4th0
2026-08-24Mountaineer?5th5th0
2026-08-04Mountaineer?2nd2nd0
2026-07-21Mountaineer?1st1st0
2026-06-15Mountaineer?2nd1st+1
2026-05-27Mountaineer?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0227/054/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 2-11 · tight 39/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength45%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/02/20267th5/287%0%-0.87
19/04/20263rd15/890%60%-0.30
05/05/20264th14/126%50%+0.24
27/05/20267th13/266%14%-0.52
15/06/20262nd9/276%83%+0.07
21/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
04/08/20262nd2/189%88%-0.02
24/08/20265th9/488%50%-0.38
15/09/20264th7/282%40%-0.42