2
Spooky Little Girl
5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 54
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 72/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 19/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 27/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/06/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 06/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 24/09/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |