Spoken Vow
5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 11 · OR 72
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-08-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 15/06/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 25% | -0.65 |
| 28/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/09/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 01/10/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |