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Narrjoo

2yo Colt · 9-11 · Draw 2

Pontefract · British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6y

#1

Rank

Odds

8/13

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

100%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well-bred type who only needed to match the form of his promising Doncaster debut second when getting off the mark in a Ffos Las maiden (7.4f) in August. Looks the type to do better again, with this step up in trip a plus, and bold showing anticipated.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Doncaster 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f6y GF 13323/0733 @ Ffos Las 12/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 7f80y Gd 13312/083projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Ffos Las31st1st0
2026-07-23Doncaster32nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0712/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength100%

Delivery trend -2.8% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09
12/08/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06