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5

Too Darn Regal

2yo Colt · 9-4 · Draw 1

Pontefract · British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Too Darn Hot half-brother to 2-y-o 1m winner Familiar. 40/1, went with only a little encouragement when eighth of 11 in a class 3 Ascot maiden (7f) on debut 31 days ago. This promises to reveal more but likely to find a couple too good.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Ascot 04/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 1334/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Ascot38th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength73%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20268th40/10%30%+0.30