9

Classyfied

2yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 4 · OR 60

Pontefract · Constant Security Serving Yorkshire Racecourses Nursery · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Not without promise in trio of quick-fire runs in maidens but proved easy to back and ran poorly when well held on nursery debut at Southwell (6f) 18 days ago, off bridle before most. Stable look to have much stronger claims with Turnstile.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength50%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Beverley 13/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS13/0844 @ Musselburgh 24/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 5f1y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS24/0844 @ Hamilton 02/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 5f7y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS2/0946 @ Southwell 17/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 62 · 6f16y Std 132 · below its mark17/09/2026 · OR 62 par17/096OR 62projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Southwell610th11th−1
2026-09-02Hamilton44th3rd+1
2026-08-24Musselburgh44th3rd+1
2026-08-13Beverley45th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0824/082/0917/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 54/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength25%

Delivery trend -2.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/08/20265th80/10%20%+0.20
24/08/20264th33/10%57%+0.57
02/09/20264th16/116%50%+0.34
17/09/202610th33/10%18%+0.18