IvyArcIvyArc
3

Floral Maid

2yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 1 · OR 71

Pontefract · Constant Security Serving Yorkshire Racecourses Nursery · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Calyx filly who continued her promising start when again finding only one too good in a Beverley maiden (5f) 3 weeks ago, doing well considering she was never far away from the strong gallop. Remains open to improvement with the step up to 6f a plus now handicapping.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Beverley 30/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 5f Hvy 128 · HIGHER CLASS30/0845 @ Beverley 16/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 5f Goo 12516/095projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Beverley52nd2nd0
2026-08-30Beverley42nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 9-9 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -94.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20262nd25/10%92%+0.92
16/09/20262nd1/195%92%-0.03