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6

Rex Regum

2yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 9 · OR 70

Pontefract · Constant Security Serving Yorkshire Racecourses Nursery · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Continued theme of race-by-race progress when second of 8 on nursery debut at Wolverhampton (6f) in August. Had little go right when seventh of 12 at Lingfield (6f) since (snatched up close home) and has a race in him from this sort of mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Windsor 23/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f12y GF 13323/0554 @ Windsor 13/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f12y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS13/0744 @ Windsor 27/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f12y GF 130 · HIGHER CLASS27/0745 @ Wolverhampton 17/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 69 · 6f20y Std 131 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 69 par17/085OR 695 @ Lingfield 10/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 71 · 6f1y Std 131 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 71 par10/095OR 71projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Lingfield57th7th0
2026-08-17Wolverhampton52nd2nd0
2026-07-27Windsor43rd2nd+1
2026-07-13Windsor48th7th+1
2026-05-23Windsor59th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0513/0727/0717/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 49/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength98%

Delivery trend +19.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20269th5/287%27%-0.60
13/07/20268th6/168%13%-0.56
27/07/20263rd50/10%67%+0.67
17/08/20262nd3/184%86%+0.02
10/09/20267th12/137%45%+0.09