Social Spirit
2yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 8 · OR 72
Pontefract · Constant Security Serving Yorkshire Racecourses Nursery · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Carlisle | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Newcastle | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | 2 | 13th | 9th | +3 |
| 2026-07-11 | York | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Carlisle | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 11/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 31/07/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 09/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 89% | +0.47 |