Cargin Bhui
5yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 11 · OR 75
Pontefract · Autism In Racing Handicap · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Haydock | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Musselburgh | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Newcastle | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 90% | -0.06 |
| 13/01/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 16/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/5 | 91% | 89% | -0.02 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 12/04/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 56% | -0.27 |
| 04/09/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |