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8

Emperor's Son

5yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 12 · OR 69

Pontefract · Autism In Racing Handicap · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful twice for Richard & Peter Fahey in first half of 2026 and steadily finding his feet for new stable, gambled on when posting a good second of 6 in handicap at Redcar (5f) 12 days ago, denied a run 2f out. Tricky draw to overcome but not entirely dismissed.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength50%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 13/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 70 · 4f214y Std 135 · beat its mark13/01/2026 · OR 70 par13/015OR 705 @ Newcastle 31/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 70 · 5f Std 135 · beat its mark31/01/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Newcastle 06/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 70 · 5f Std 135 · below its mark06/02/2026 · OR 70 par6/025OR 705 @ Pontefract 08/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 68 · 6f Goo 128 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Hamilton 17/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 68 · 6f6y Goo 133 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 68 par17/065OR 684 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 70 · 6f GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Catterick 17/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 70 · 5f Goo 140 · below its mark17/08/2026 · OR 70 par17/085OR 705 @ Ayr 17/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 20 · OR 69 · 5f Goo 137 · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Redcar 23/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 69 · 5f Gd 136 · beat its mark23/09/2026 · OR 69 par23/095OR 69projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Redcar52nd2nd0
2026-09-17Ayr58th8th0
2026-08-17Catterick59th9th0
2026-07-04Newmarket410th9th+1
2026-06-17Hamilton51st1st0
2026-06-08Pontefract54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/018/0617/0823/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/01/20263rd15/890%60%-0.30
31/01/20266th13/266%44%-0.21
06/02/20269th5/174%20%-0.54
08/06/20264th9/153%67%+0.14
17/06/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
04/07/202610th20/10%0%0.00
17/08/20269th20/10%20%+0.20
17/09/20268th50/10%63%+0.63
23/09/20262nd15/890%80%-0.10