Invincible Boy
3yo Colt · 9-11 · Draw 6 · OR 75
Pontefract · Autism In Racing Handicap · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Carlisle | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | York | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Pontefract | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Doncaster | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-10-10 | York | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -15.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 07/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 27/06/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 46% | -0.20 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |