Mister Sox
6yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 10 · OR 70
Pontefract · Autism In Racing Handicap · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Pontefract | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-09-01 | Ripon | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Pontefract | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | York | 4 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 11/07/2026 | 12th | 13/2 | 66% | 39% | -0.27 |
| 24/07/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 24% | -0.03 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 79% | +0.32 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 24/09/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 62% | -0.07 |