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5

Veydari

4yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 8 · OR 71

Pontefract · Autism In Racing Handicap · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Heavy ground C&D winner at this meeting 2 years ago for Richard Fahey. Has yet to add to his tally for present stable but shaped well having gone off hard when second on return here in June. Had breathing operation prior to finishing third at Hamilton (5f) 2 weeks ago and he ought to be sharper now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength68%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ York 31/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 22 · OR 77 · 7f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/05/2025 · OR 77 par31/054OR 774 @ Hamilton 15/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 76 · 6f6y GS 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2025 · OR 76 par4 @ Chester 12/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 74 · 6f17y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/07/2025 · OR 74 par12/074OR 744 @ York 25/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 76 · 5f89y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2025 · OR 76 par4 @ Chester 30/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 76 · 5f15y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 76 par30/084OR 764 @ Ayr 30/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 74 · 6f Sft 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 74 par4 @ Pontefract 20/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 73 · 5f3y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/10/2025 · OR 73 par20/104OR 735 @ Pontefract 08/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 71 · 6f Goo 131 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Hamilton 21/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 72 · 5f7y Sft 135 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 72 par21/095OR 72projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Hamilton53rd3rd0
2026-06-08Pontefract52nd2nd0
2025-10-20Pontefract47th6th+1
2025-09-30Ayr44th3rd+1
2025-08-30Chester48th7th+1
2025-07-25York44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0525/0720/1021/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 3-12 · tight 45/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength41%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/20259th22/10%62%+0.62
15/06/20258th8/158%46%-0.12
12/07/20252nd15/261%89%+0.28
25/07/20254th9/153%79%+0.26
30/08/20258th15/261%0%-0.61
30/09/20254th7/163%75%+0.12
20/10/20257th11/271%45%-0.26
08/06/20262nd11/271%89%+0.18
21/09/20263rd8/158%60%+0.02