Andesite
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 4 · OR 84
Pontefract · Leslie Burton (Fisher) Handicap (Div 1) · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Chester | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-05 | Thirsk | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Thirsk | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | York | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.19 |
| 10/07/2026 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 44% | -0.27 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |
| 15/08/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 19/09/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |