Go Vince Go
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 13 · OR 76
Pontefract · Leslie Burton (Fisher) Handicap (Div 1) · 6f
#12
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Pontefract | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Carlisle | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | York | 2 | 17th | 16th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 31/05/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 36% | -0.43 |
| 13/06/2026 | 17th | 50/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 15/08/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 58% | -0.03 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 24/09/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 46% | +0.09 |