Gold Queen Kindly

3yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 9 · OR 83

Pontefract · Leslie Burton (Fisher) Handicap (Div 1) · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▬

Strength48%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 1

Recent avg: C3.2

Today: 3

Class gap: -0.2

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-24	Pontefract	4	7th	8th	−1	1.8
2026-05-13	York	3	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-04-26	Wetherby	4	3rd	4th	−1	5.8
2026-04-05	Southwell	4	2nd	3rd	−1	6.8
2026-02-27	Lingfield	2	11th	10th	+1	1.0
2026-01-16	Newcastle	2	9th	8th	+1	2.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 83/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +12.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
16/08/2025	2nd	6/5	94%	67%	-0.27
20/09/2025	5th	12/1	37%	43%	+0.06
24/10/2025	4th	9/4	88%	25%	-0.63
16/01/2026	9th	9/1	53%	20%	-0.33
27/02/2026	11th	22/1	0%	9%	+0.09
05/04/2026	2nd	9/1	53%	86%	+0.33
26/04/2026	3rd	10/3	82%	80%	-0.02
13/05/2026	4th	25/1	0%	77%	+0.77
24/09/2026	7th	28/1	0%	54%	+0.54