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8

Territorial Knight

4yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 8 · OR 82

Pontefract · Leslie Burton (Fisher) Handicap (Div 1) · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Plenty of good efforts last season but those have been less frequent this campaign, well held in the Bronze Cup at Ayr most recently. Back on his last winning mark as a result but needs to show more before becoming of interest.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Doncaster 23/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 82 · 6f2y Goo 132 · beat its mark23/07/2025 · OR 82 par23/074OR 824 @ Carlisle 01/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 85 · 5f182y Gd 135 · beat its mark01/09/2025 · OR 85 par2 @ Ayr 19/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 25 · OR 85 · 6f Sft 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/09/2025 · OR 85 par19/092OR 853 @ Doncaster 29/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 19 · OR 87 · 6f2y GS 127 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 87 par3 @ Doncaster 02/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 86 · 6f2y Goo 131 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 86 par2/053OR 864 @ Ayr 06/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR 85 · 6f Gd 142 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 85 par4 @ Hamilton 11/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 85 · 6f6y Goo 135 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 85 par11/084OR 854 @ Haydock 04/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 85 · 6f Hvy 138 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 85 par2 @ Ayr 18/09/2026 · Pos 20th of 24 · OR 85 · 6f Sft 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 85 par18/092OR 85projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Ayr220th19th+1
2026-09-04Haydock49th10th−1
2026-08-11Hamilton45th6th−1
2026-07-06Ayr42nd3rd−1
2026-05-02Doncaster34th4th0
2026-03-29Doncaster35th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0729/0311/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 13-13 · tight 90/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
01/09/20252nd11/271%90%+0.19
19/09/20255th11/142%83%+0.41
29/03/20265th8/158%78%+0.20
02/05/20264th4/179%40%-0.39
06/07/20262nd11/142%94%+0.52
11/08/20265th6/168%64%-0.05
04/09/20269th6/168%38%-0.30
18/09/202620th9/153%17%-0.35