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The Good Biscuit

5yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 11 · OR 89

Pontefract · Leslie Burton (Fisher) Handicap (Div 1) · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

72%

Place Prob

48%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back in fine form this summer, recording 4 wins since mid-July, his latest in 14-runner event over C&D (good) 11 days ago. That took his tally to 5 course wins and a further 4 lb rise shouldn't prevent another bold bid, though he'll need to negotiate a wide stall.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Hamilton 17/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 78 · 6f6y Gd 133 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 78 par17/054OR 784 @ Pontefract 02/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 134 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 78 par3 @ Pontefract 21/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 129 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 77 par21/063OR 774 @ Catterick 15/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 75 · 5f212y GF 138 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Pontefract 26/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 133 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 78 par26/074OR 784 @ Pontefract 05/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 138 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 78 par3 @ Pontefract 16/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 81 · 6f Goo 132 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 81 par16/083OR 813 @ Thirsk 05/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 86 · 6f Goo 131 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 86 par4 @ Pontefract 24/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 85 · 6f Gd 140 · beat its mark24/09/2026 · OR 85 par24/094OR 85projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-24Pontefract41st2nd−1
2026-09-05Thirsk35th5th0
2026-08-16Pontefract31st1st0
2026-08-05Pontefract46th7th−1
2026-07-26Pontefract41st2nd−1
2026-07-15Catterick41st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0515/0716/0824/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 75/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/05/20268th17/255%42%-0.14
02/06/20264th4/179%63%-0.16
21/06/20264th11/271%40%-0.31
15/07/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
26/07/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
05/08/20266th7/282%29%-0.53
16/08/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
05/09/20265th11/271%50%-0.21
24/09/20261st17/255%100%+0.45