9
Physique
6yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 1 · OR 82
Pontefract · Leslie Burton (Fisher) Handicap (Div 2) · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Kempton | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-09-04 | Kempton | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Newmarket | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Newmarket | 2 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Newmarket | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Beverley | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 40/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength36%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 16/04/2026 | 15th | 13/2 | 66% | 18% | -0.48 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 11/07/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 8% | -0.07 |
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 23/09/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |