Always Blue
3yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 11 · OR 69
Pontefract · Good Biscuit - Ponte Premiership Champion Handicap · 1m 6y
#10
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thirsk | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Carlisle | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | York | 2 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-25 | Ripon | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 14/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |