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9

Galba

3yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 8 · OR 71

Pontefract · Good Biscuit - Ponte Premiership Champion Handicap · 1m 6y

#8

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden who has made a positive start for new stable, making it 3 placings on the spin when third of 9 in handicap at Yarmouth (7f, good) just under 3 weeks ago. This return to 1m should suit so no surprise if he's bang there again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 24/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f110y Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS24/1044 @ Newmarket 14/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 7f Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Leicester 09/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS9/0535 @ Windsor 23/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 70 · 1m31y GF 135 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Sandown 12/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 69 · 7f Gd 129 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 69 par12/065OR 695 @ Sandown 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 69 · 1m Goo 134 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Haydock 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 72 · 6f212y Goo 136 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 72 par8/085OR 725 @ Yarmouth 15/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 72 · 7f3y Goo 132 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 72 par15/095OR 72projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Yarmouth53rd3rd0
2026-08-08Haydock53rd3rd0
2026-07-29Sandown52nd2nd0
2026-06-12Sandown53rd3rd0
2026-05-23Windsor56th6th0
2026-05-09Leicester33rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/1023/058/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength79%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/10/20253rd11/486%67%-0.19
14/04/20267th14/126%14%-0.12
09/05/20263rd28/10%71%+0.71
23/05/20266th8/158%44%-0.13
12/06/20263rd28/10%78%+0.78
29/07/20262nd11/893%80%-0.13
08/08/20263rd6/168%71%+0.03
15/09/20263rd11/271%75%+0.04