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12

Mount King

6yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 3 · OR 62

Pontefract · Good Biscuit - Ponte Premiership Champion Handicap · 1m 6y

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

13%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Four-time C&D winner, his latest in July. Rather in-and-out of form since and could never get competitive from 3 lb out of the weights at Redcar on Saturday.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength56%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Pontefract 21/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 64 · 1m6y Goo 139 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 64 par21/065OR 645 @ Pontefract 07/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 62 · 1m6y Goo 129 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Pontefract 17/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 62 · 1m6y Goo 137 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 62 par17/076OR 625 @ Pontefract 26/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 65 · 1m6y Goo 137 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Thirsk 14/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 65 · 7f218y Goo 125 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 65 par14/085OR 654 @ Redcar 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 65 · 7f219y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Beverley 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 64 · 1m100y Sft 131 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 64 par29/085OR 645 @ Redcar 15/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 63 · 7f219y Goo 133 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 63 par2 @ Redcar 03/10/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 62 · 7f219y Gd 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/10/2026 · OR 62 par3/102OR 62projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03Redcar29th5th+3
2026-09-15Redcar55th5th0
2026-08-29Beverley56th6th0
2026-08-22Redcar44th3rd+1
2026-08-14Thirsk59th9th0
2026-07-26Pontefract52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0626/0729/083/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength66%

Delivery trend +3.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/20266th13/266%17%-0.49
07/07/20265th33/10%50%+0.50
17/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
26/07/20262nd7/282%83%+0.02
14/08/20269th11/142%43%+0.01
22/08/20264th16/116%67%+0.51
29/08/20266th13/266%44%-0.21
15/09/20265th9/153%67%+0.14
03/10/20269th80/10%38%+0.38