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7

On The Inlet

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 9 · OR 73

Pontefract · Good Biscuit - Ponte Premiership Champion Handicap · 1m 6y

#11

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#11

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bagged a pair of 7f/1m all-weather handicaps in the spring. Went like the best horse at the weights when fourth of 10 at Brighton (1m, good) last week, but his poor position was his own doing. Every chance from this mark but his slow starts temper enthusiasm.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 07/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f14y Std 1337/1055 @ Southwell 02/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 65 · 1m13y Std 125 · beat its mark02/04/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Wolverhampton 09/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 65 · 7f36y Std 141 · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 65 par9/046OR 652 @ Newbury 17/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 77 · 7f Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Kempton 27/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 82 · 7f Sta 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 82 par27/054OR 824 @ Wolverhampton 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 81 · 1m142y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 81 par4 @ Salisbury 13/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 79 · 1m1f201y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 79 par13/084OR 794 @ Doncaster 11/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR 76 · 1m2f43y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 76 par5 @ Brighton 28/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 73 · 7f216y Goo 134 · beat its mark28/09/2026 · OR 73 par28/095OR 73projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-28Brighton54th4th0
2026-09-11Doncaster413th12th+1
2026-08-13Salisbury43rd2nd+1
2026-07-17Wolverhampton43rd2nd+1
2026-05-27Kempton45th4th+1
2026-04-17Newbury211th7th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1017/0413/0828/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 54/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength67%

Delivery trend -3.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/10/20255th33/10%60%+0.60
02/04/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
09/04/20261st2/999%100%+0.01
17/04/202611th18/15%23%+0.18
27/05/20265th9/153%67%+0.14
17/07/20263rd3/184%33%-0.51
13/08/20263rd20/10%33%+0.33
11/09/202613th50/10%25%+0.25
28/09/20264th17/255%67%+0.11