Phone Tag
5yo Gelding · 10-0 · Draw 14 · OR 75
Pontefract · Good Biscuit - Ponte Premiership Champion Handicap · 1m 6y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Newmarket | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-10-31 | Newmarket | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Pontefract | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-06-01 | Nottingham | 5 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-04-14 | Pontefract | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 21/01/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 29/03/2025 | 14th | 12/1 | 37% | 24% | -0.13 |
| 14/04/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 01/06/2025 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 8% | -0.44 |
| 06/10/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 31/10/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/12/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 16/05/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |