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Regal Desire

3yo Filly · 9-11 · Draw 6 · OR 75

Pontefract · Good Biscuit - Ponte Premiership Champion Handicap · 1m 6y

#12

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up on debut in 1m Southwell maiden in May before looking unlucky not to go one better in similar company at Beverley (1m) following month. Ran too badly to be true back from a break at Newcastle recently and remains with potential now handicapping. First-time hood applied.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 21/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m13y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS21/0545 @ Beverley 23/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m100y Goo 12523/0654 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f14y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS5/094projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Newcastle49th8th+1
2026-06-23Beverley52nd2nd0
2026-05-21Southwell42nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0523/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 14-14 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -79.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/05/20262nd150/10%90%+0.90
23/06/20262nd10/382%80%-0.02
05/09/20269th6/168%0%-0.68