Selection
4yo Filly · 10-0 · Draw 2 · OR 75
Pontefract · Good Biscuit - Ponte Premiership Champion Handicap · 1m 6y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Ayr | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Pontefract | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Pontefract | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Thirsk | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Southwell | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Southwell | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 24/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 05/04/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 17/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |