6

Bodygroove

6yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 48

Pontefract · Always Trying Racing Syndicate Handicap · 2m 2f 2y

#6

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hurdles winner at Wetherby (2m) in March 2025 but limited impact on Flat/over hurdles since, well held on the back of 6 months off at Sedgefield 21 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Carlisle 19/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 98 · 2m1f Goo 159 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/04/2025 · OR 98 par19/044OR 986 @ Carlisle 19/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 62 · 1m6f32y GF 135 · below its mark19/05/2025 · OR 62 par6 @ Pontefract 09/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 59 · 2m1f27y Goo 135 · beat its mark09/06/2025 · OR 59 par9/066OR 595 @ Carlisle 05/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 57 · 2m1f47y Sft 136 · beat its mark05/07/2025 · OR 57 par6 @ Redcar 20/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 54 · 1m7f217y Goo 129 · below its mark20/07/2025 · OR 54 par20/076OR 546 @ Catterick 28/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 52 · 1m7f189y Sft 132 · beat its mark28/10/2025 · OR 52 par5 @ Catterick 01/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 96 · 1m7f156y Gd 160 · below its mark01/01/2026 · OR 96 par1/015OR 965 @ Wetherby 27/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 94 · 3m26y Gd 163 · below its mark27/03/2026 · OR 94 par5 @ Sedgefield 14/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 91 · 2m3f188y Goo 159 · below its mark14/09/2026 · OR 91 par14/095OR 91projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Sedgefield510th10th0
2026-03-27Wetherby59th9th0
2026-01-01Catterick56th6th0
2025-11-13Sedgefield50
2025-10-28Catterick66th7th−1
2025-07-20Redcar68th9th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/045/071/0114/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength39%

Delivery trend +4.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/04/20255th3/184%56%-0.29
19/05/20257th11/142%14%-0.28
09/06/20255th22/10%56%+0.56
05/07/20256th18/15%38%+0.32
20/07/20258th25/10%0%0.00
28/10/20256th14/126%44%+0.18
01/01/20266th22/10%44%+0.44
27/03/20269th40/10%43%+0.43
14/09/202610th28/10%0%0.00