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4

Further Measure

9yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 1 · OR 56

Pontefract · Always Trying Racing Syndicate Handicap · 2m 2f 2y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won over 2m at Kempton in February and posted one of his better recent efforts when 4 lengths fourth of 9 in handicap at Southwell 13 days ago, racing freely from his wide draw. Task now is to back that up having a rare start on turf.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 22/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 63 · 1m6f21y Std 132 · beat its mark22/01/2026 · OR 63 par22/015OR 636 @ Kempton 11/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 62 · 1m7f218y Sta 139 · beat its mark11/02/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Southwell 24/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 64 · 2m102y Std 134 · beat its mark24/02/2026 · OR 64 par24/025OR 645 @ Lingfield 19/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 64 · 1m3f133y Gd 129 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 64 par5 @ Kempton 10/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 63 · 1m7f218y Sta 131 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 63 par10/065OR 635 @ Southwell 27/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 62 · 1m6f21y Std 135 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Lingfield 18/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 60 · 1m7f169y Std 146 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 60 par18/085OR 606 @ Lingfield 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 59 · 1m7f169y Std 140 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Southwell 22/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 57 · 2m102y Std 139 · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 57 par22/096OR 57projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Southwell64th5th−1
2026-09-03Lingfield65th6th−1
2026-08-18Lingfield56th6th0
2026-07-27Southwell55th5th0
2026-06-10Kempton57th7th0
2026-05-19Lingfield54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0119/0518/0822/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength74%

Delivery trend -2.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/01/20264th22/10%63%+0.63
11/02/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
24/02/20264th11/271%63%-0.09
19/05/20264th13/266%57%-0.09
10/06/20267th9/153%14%-0.38
27/07/20265th16/116%50%+0.34
18/08/20266th18/15%17%+0.11
03/09/20265th9/276%20%-0.56
22/09/20264th20/10%63%+0.63