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5

Simiyann

6yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 2 · OR 54

Pontefract · Always Trying Racing Syndicate Handicap · 2m 2f 2y

#4

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Four-time winner at up to 2m who hasn't been at his best despite a sliding mark this year, plugging on for fifth in handicap at Ffos Las (2m) 39 days ago. Since left Ian Williams for only 2,400 gns but not out of things in an open-looking event. Cheekpieces back on in place of visor.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength29%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newbury 17/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 2m69y Goo 158 · HIGHER CLASS17/1235 @ Southwell 22/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 67 · 1m6f21y Std 136 · beat its mark22/01/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Newbury 15/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 65 · 1m4f Gd 125 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 65 par15/055OR 656 @ Pontefract 08/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 63 · 2m1f27y Goo 133 · below its mark08/06/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Ffos Las 30/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 60 · 2m Goo 130 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 60 par30/066OR 605 @ Nottingham 17/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 58 · 2m1f208y Goo 127 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Nottingham 30/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 58 · 1m6f Goo 130 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 58 par30/076OR 586 @ Nottingham 11/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 57 · 2m Goo 138 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Ffos Las 27/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 55 · 2m Gd 132 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 55 par27/086OR 55projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Ffos Las65th6th−1
2026-08-11Nottingham63rd4th−1
2026-07-30Nottingham63rd4th−1
2026-07-17Nottingham52nd2nd0
2026-06-30Ffos Las64th5th−1
2026-06-08Pontefract610th11th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/128/0630/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-4 · tight 74/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength54%

Delivery trend -5.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/12/202512th125/10%8%+0.08
22/01/20266th12/137%38%+0.01
15/05/202612th40/10%21%+0.21
08/06/202610th22/10%18%+0.18
30/06/20264th3/184%50%-0.34
17/07/20262nd6/168%75%+0.07
30/07/20263rd7/163%33%-0.30
11/08/20263rd15/261%50%-0.11
27/08/20265th7/163%33%-0.30