12
Barmyblade
4yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 11 · OR 58
Pontefract · Constant Security Services Handicap · 5f 3y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength54%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Catterick | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Catterick | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Catterick | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Catterick | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Beverley | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thirsk | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 24/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength51%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2026 | 12th | 15/2 | 61% | 8% | -0.52 |
| 28/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 14/07/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 04/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 17/08/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |